Friday's Picks and Predictions

ALL PICKS, INCLUDING MY PLAY OF THE DAY WILL BE POSTED HERE THROUGHOUT THE DAY!

MLB
WASHINGTON +120
LA-ANGELS +110
BOSTON +100
ST. LOUIS -145/RL +130 (SPLIT)
CUBS +140


NFLx

MINNESOTA VS. KANSAS CITY

The Vikings return home off an impressive 10 point win over the Colts. This week the Vikings dominated headlines with the signing of Brett Favre. Favre is expected to start before giving way to Rosenfels and Jackson. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are coming off a 16-10 loss to the Texans in a game where starting QB Matt Cassel struggled. Cassel will extra work tonight before giving way to Croyle and Thigpen. The Chiefs find themselves in the same situation as the Bengals last night which involves week 2 preseason underdogs with zero wins – these teams have covered the number 2/3 of the time over the long run (54-28 L82). In another very strong angle week 2 teams coming off a poor previous season are an incredible 27-9 ATS L36 when playing on the road and against an opponent coming off a good or average season. All signs point to Minny, especially at home and with the return of Favre, but I love the Chiefs to get their first preseason win just like the Bengals did last night under the same set of circumstances!

PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY 17 MINNESOTA 13

(KANSAS CITY +3 ***PLAY OF THE DAY***)

DALLAS VS. TENNESSEE

Tennessee takes their show on the road tonight after an impressive win over Buffalo last week, bringing their preseason record to 2-0. Meanwhile, Dallas returns home off an opening week blowout loss at Oakland. In that loss the Cowboys looked sloppy and historically it has been very profitable to back quality teams coming off sub-par performances. Additionally, one of the keys to capping preseason successfully is looking for teams that may be more motivated and tonight the Cowboys should be the more motivated team given that sloppy performance combine with the fact they are playing for the first time in their new $1.15 billion stadium. Tennessee has received 2 solid efforts out their club, so complacency could set in. The Titans were in the same spot last season (2-0) and went on the road to lose. I expect the same result tonight. It is worth noting that Dallas is 9-0-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their L10 preseason home games!!

PREDICTION: DALLAS 24 TENNESSEE 14

(DALLAS -3)